Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
William Knight
Cody Brundage
57%
43%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Knight: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Brundage: 19 sig / 1 TD
William Knight
Cody Brundage
63
Sig strikes landed
48
99
Sig strikes attempted
114
63
Total strikes landed
64
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
63s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
William Knight
"Knightmare"
12-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DWCS 3.8
—
Blue corner
Cody Brundage
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26