Back to UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Mayra Bueno Silva vs Mara Romero Borella

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Mayra Bueno Silva
Mara Romero Borella
65% 35%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
10-8-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
12-10
L1
Current streak
L3
2
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Bueno Silva: 2 sig / 0 TD · Romero Borella: 6 sig / 1 TD
Mayra Bueno Silva
Mara Romero Borella
45
Sig strikes landed
37
92
Sig strikes attempted
88
62
Total strikes landed
57
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
95s
Control time
213s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mayra Bueno Silva

"Sheetara"
10-8-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
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W UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
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Blue corner
L3

Mara Romero Borella

12-10 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
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L UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
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L UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
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L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
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