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Prelims1 Featherweight

Darrick Minner vs TJ Laramie

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Darrick Minner
TJ Laramie
59% 41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
30
Age
Δ 8y
23
L1
Current streak
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Minner: 15 sig / 0 TD · Laramie: 0 sig / 0 TD
Darrick Minner
TJ Laramie
25
Sig strikes landed
27
50
Sig strikes attempted
49
41
Total strikes landed
49
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
103s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Darrick Minner

26-15
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
Blue corner

TJ Laramie

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23