Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bryan Barberena
Anthony Ivy
67%
33%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
31
Age
Δ 1y
31
18-13
Career record
Δ 3 pp
8-5
L2
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barberena: 63 sig / 0 TD ·
Ivy: 36 sig / 5 TD
Bryan Barberena
Anthony Ivy
49
Sig strikes landed
41
104
Sig strikes attempted
96
83
Total strikes landed
40
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
99s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
Blue corner
L1
Anthony Ivy
"Aquaman"
8-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—