Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brok Weaver
Jalin Turner
54%
46%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
29
Age
Δ 4y
25
15-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
16-9
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Weaver: 56 sig / 1 TD ·
Turner: 66 sig / 1 TD
Brok Weaver
Jalin Turner
30
Sig strikes landed
34
61
Sig strikes attempted
71
43
Total strikes landed
55
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
149s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brok Weaver
"Chata Tuska"
15-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
16-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—