Main
Light Heavyweight
Ovince Saint Preux vs Alonzo Menifield
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ovince Saint Preux
Alonzo Menifield
41%
59%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
37
Age
Δ 4y
33
27-19
Career record
Δ 11 pp
18-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
21
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Saint Preux: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Menifield: 19 sig / 0 TD
Ovince Saint Preux
Alonzo Menifield
28
Sig strikes landed
32
59
Sig strikes attempted
57
40
Total strikes landed
49
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
73s
Control time
200s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ovince Saint Preux
27-19
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
21 fights · 12-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
Blue corner
L1
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
18-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—