Main
Women's Flyweight
Viviane Araujo vs Montana De La Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Viviane Araujo
Montana De La Rosa
48%
52%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
13-8
Career record
Δ 4 pp
14-9-1
L1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Araujo: 82 sig / 0 TD ·
De La Rosa: 85 sig / 1 TD
Viviane Araujo
Montana De La Rosa
44
Sig strikes landed
43
93
Sig strikes attempted
123
60
Total strikes landed
71
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.4
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
64s
Control time
223s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
13-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
Blue corner
W1
Montana De La Rosa
14-9-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—