Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cole Smith
Hunter Azure
54%
46%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
7-3
Career record
Δ 5 pp
9-3
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Smith: 31 sig / 2 TD ·
Azure: 42 sig / 5 TD
Cole Smith
Hunter Azure
37
Sig strikes landed
45
124
Sig strikes attempted
101
76
Total strikes landed
64
2.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
7.2
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
255s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cole Smith
"The Cole Train"
7-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
Blue corner
L1
Hunter Azure
9-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—