Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ricardo Lamas
Bill Algeo
53%
47%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
38
Age
Δ 7y
31
L1
Current streak
—
16
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lamas: 104 sig / 5 TD ·
Algeo: 89 sig / 1 TD
Ricardo Lamas
Bill Algeo
35
Sig strikes landed
41
62
Sig strikes attempted
85
52
Total strikes landed
55
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
156s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ricardo Lamas
"The Bully"
20-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
16 fights · 10-6
Last 5
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
L
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
Blue corner
Bill Algeo
"Senor Perfecto"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
31