Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ji Yeon Kim
Alexa Grasso
33%
67%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
66"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
10-7-2
Career record
Δ 18 pp
17-6-1
W1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kim: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
Grasso: 88 sig / 1 TD
Ji Yeon Kim
Alexa Grasso
75
Sig strikes landed
74
183
Sig strikes attempted
171
88
Total strikes landed
99
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
71s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
86%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ji Yeon Kim
"Firefist"
10-7-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
Blue corner
L1
Alexa Grasso
17-6-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—