Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Maki Pitolo
Impa Kasanganay
45%
55%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pitolo: 71 sig / 0 TD ·
Kasanganay: 85 sig / 0 TD
Maki Pitolo
Impa Kasanganay
38
Sig strikes landed
42
82
Sig strikes attempted
82
55
Total strikes landed
57
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
118s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Maki Pitolo
"Coconut Bombz"
13-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
L
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
Impa Kasanganay
"Tshilobo"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27