Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Polyana Viana vs Emily Whitmire
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Polyana Viana
Emily Whitmire
71%
29%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
13-10
Career record
Δ 17 pp
4-6
L3
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Viana: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Whitmire: 2 sig / 0 TD
Polyana Viana
Emily Whitmire
35
Sig strikes landed
27
76
Sig strikes attempted
73
60
Total strikes landed
49
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
143s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Polyana Viana
"Dama de Ferro"
13-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
Blue corner
L1
Emily Whitmire
"Spitfire"
4-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—