Back to UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Mallory Martin vs Hannah Cifers

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Mallory Martin
Hannah Cifers
51% 49%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 1"
62"
27
Age
Δ 2y
28
7-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
10-8
L1
Current streak
L3
1
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Martin: 22 sig / 1 TD · Cifers: 49 sig / 0 TD
Mallory Martin
Hannah Cifers
32
Sig strikes landed
43
92
Sig strikes attempted
99
53
Total strikes landed
62
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
149s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mallory Martin

7-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
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Blue corner
L3

Hannah Cifers

"Shockwave"
10-8
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
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L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
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W UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
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