Back to UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Prelims1 Middleweight

Alessio Di Chirico vs Zak Cummings

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Alessio Di Chirico
Zak Cummings
34% 66%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
31
Age
Δ 5y
36
13-8
Career record
Δ 14 pp
25-8
L2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
12

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Di Chirico: 53 sig / 0 TD · Cummings: 54 sig / 0 TD
Alessio Di Chirico
Zak Cummings
35
Sig strikes landed
40
90
Sig strikes attempted
99
46
Total strikes landed
55
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
56s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Alessio Di Chirico

"Manzo"
13-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
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W UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
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L UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
L1

Zak Cummings

25-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
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L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—