Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mike Breeden
Anthony Romero
39%
61%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
Δ 8y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Breeden: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Romero: 88 sig / 2 TD
Mike Breeden
Anthony Romero
34
Sig strikes landed
36
69
Sig strikes attempted
78
48
Total strikes landed
75
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mike Breeden
"Money"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
Anthony Romero
"The Genius"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24