Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Kyron Bowen
Collin Huckbody
50%
50%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
27
Age
Δ 1y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Bowen: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Huckbody: 3 sig / 1 TD
Kyron Bowen
Collin Huckbody
35
Sig strikes landed
35
75
Sig strikes attempted
77
51
Total strikes landed
49
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Kyron Bowen
"Bullseye"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Collin Huckbody
"All In"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26