Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Cheyanne Vlismas
Hilarie Rose
64%
36%
Why
63"
Reach
63"
25
Age
Δ 3y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vlismas: 92 sig / 0 TD ·
Rose: 35 sig / 0 TD
Cheyanne Vlismas
Hilarie Rose
32
Sig strikes landed
30
70
Sig strikes attempted
67
65
Total strikes landed
57
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
169s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Cheyanne Vlismas
"The Warrior Princess"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
Blue corner
Hilarie Rose
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28