Back to DWCS 4.3
Main Welterweight

Louis Cosce vs Victor Reyna

DWCS 4.3 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Louis Cosce
Victor Reyna
68% 32%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
25
Age
Δ 9y
34
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cosce: 16 sig / 0 TD · Reyna: 5 sig / 0 TD
Louis Cosce
Victor Reyna
47
Sig strikes landed
52
87
Sig strikes attempted
99
64
Total strikes landed
58
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.7
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
133s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Louis Cosce

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L1

Victor Reyna

"Kelevra"
11-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L DWCS 3.2
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