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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Ike Villanueva vs Jordan Wright

UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ike Villanueva
Jordan Wright
36% 64%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
36
Age
Δ 8y
29
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 1
Villanueva: 7 sig / 0 TD · Wright: 15 sig / 0 TD
Ike Villanueva
Jordan Wright
27
Sig strikes landed
45
65
Sig strikes attempted
83
38
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
87s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ike Villanueva

"Hurricane"
18-15
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
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Blue corner

Jordan Wright

"The Beverly Hills Ninja"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29