Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Amanda Lemos
Mizuki
42%
58%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-6
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lemos: 83 sig / 2 TD ·
Mizuki: 57 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Lemos
Mizuki
54
Sig strikes landed
48
110
Sig strikes attempted
101
79
Total strikes landed
73
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
140s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Amanda Lemos
16-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
Blue corner
W1
Mizuki
17-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—