Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexander Volkov
Walt Harris
96%
4%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
32
Age
Δ 5y
37
40-12
Career record
Δ 23 pp
13-11
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Volkov: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Harris: 16 sig / 0 TD
Alexander Volkov
Walt Harris
42
Sig strikes landed
36
79
Sig strikes attempted
70
59
Total strikes landed
34
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.0
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
50s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40-12
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
Blue corner
L1
Walt Harris
"The Big Ticket"
13-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
14 fights · 6-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—