Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Robert Whittaker
Jared Cannonier
82%
18%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
30
Age
Δ 7y
37
28-9
Career record
Δ 8 pp
19-9
W1
Current streak
W3
15
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Whittaker: 69 sig / 0 TD ·
Cannonier: 53 sig / 0 TD
Robert Whittaker
Jared Cannonier
66
Sig strikes landed
43
151
Sig strikes attempted
110
76
Total strikes landed
50
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
69s
Control time
8s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
28-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
15 fights · 12-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
Blue corner
W3
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—