Prelims1
Middleweight
Kevin Holland vs Joaquin Buckley
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kevin Holland
Joaquin Buckley
58%
42%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 5"
76"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
W1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Holland: 79 sig / 0 TD ·
Buckley: 40 sig / 0 TD
Kevin Holland
Joaquin Buckley
42
Sig strikes landed
26
86
Sig strikes attempted
61
60
Total strikes landed
48
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
30-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
Blue corner
Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26