Prelims1
Lightweight
Nasrat Haqparast vs Alexander Munoz
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nasrat Haqparast
Alexander Munoz
81%
19%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Haqparast: 104 sig / 0 TD ·
Munoz: 37 sig / 1 TD
Nasrat Haqparast
Alexander Munoz
56
Sig strikes landed
38
121
Sig strikes attempted
94
72
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
124s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nasrat Haqparast
18-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
Blue corner
Alexander Munoz
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
30