Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Youssef Zalal
Peter Barrett
84%
16%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
24
Age
Δ 10y
34
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zalal: 54 sig / 3 TD ·
Barrett: 23 sig / 0 TD
Youssef Zalal
Peter Barrett
44
Sig strikes landed
27
90
Sig strikes attempted
69
64
Total strikes landed
42
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
249s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
Blue corner
Peter Barrett
"Slippery"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34