Prelims1
Middleweight
Andrew Sanchez vs Wellington Turman
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Andrew Sanchez
Wellington Turman
35%
65%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
13-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
19-8
L1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sanchez: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Turman: 21 sig / 0 TD
Andrew Sanchez
Wellington Turman
46
Sig strikes landed
50
109
Sig strikes attempted
117
71
Total strikes landed
75
1.1
Takedowns landed
2.0
4.0
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
147s
Control time
193s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Andrew Sanchez
"El Dirte"
13-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
Blue corner
W1
Wellington Turman
"The Prodigy"
19-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—