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Main Women's Bantamweight

Yana Santos vs Julija Stoliarenko

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Yana Santos
Julija Stoliarenko
77% 23%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
31
Age
Δ 3y
27
17-9
Career record
Δ 20 pp
11-11-2
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Santos: 43 sig / 1 TD · Stoliarenko: 6 sig / 0 TD
Yana Santos
Julija Stoliarenko
67
Sig strikes landed
54
142
Sig strikes attempted
128
106
Total strikes landed
72
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
249s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Yana Santos

17-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
W UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
L UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
Blue corner
L1

Julija Stoliarenko

11-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…