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Main Featherweight

TJ Laramie vs Daniel Swain

DWCS 4.2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
TJ Laramie
Daniel Swain
60% 40%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
23
Age
Δ 7y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 1
Laramie: 16 sig / 1 TD · Swain: 4 sig / 0 TD
TJ Laramie
Daniel Swain
35
Sig strikes landed
38
71
Sig strikes attempted
80
52
Total strikes landed
54
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
136s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

TJ Laramie

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
Blue corner

Daniel Swain

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30