Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Vanessa Demopoulos
Cory McKenna
39%
61%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 1"
58"
32
Age
Δ 11y
21
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Demopoulos: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
McKenna: 47 sig / 1 TD
Vanessa Demopoulos
Cory McKenna
35
Sig strikes landed
40
77
Sig strikes attempted
87
65
Total strikes landed
63
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
177s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Cory McKenna
"Poppins"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
59"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21