Back to DWCS 4.2
Main Middleweight

Anthony Adams vs Impa Kasanganay

DWCS 4.2 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Anthony Adams
Impa Kasanganay
41% 59%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
8-3
Career record
Δ 11 pp
10-2
L1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Adams: 44 sig / 0 TD · Kasanganay: 94 sig / 3 TD
Anthony Adams
Impa Kasanganay
44
Sig strikes landed
63
117
Sig strikes attempted
130
57
Total strikes landed
68
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
62s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Anthony Adams

"Sugafoot"
8-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L DWCS 2.5
—
Blue corner
W1

Impa Kasanganay

"Tshilobo"
10-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W DWCS 3.10
—