Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Uros Medic
Mikey Gonzalez
77%
23%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
27
Age
Δ 8y
35
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Medic: 32 sig / 0 TD ·
Gonzalez: 2 sig / 0 TD
Uros Medic
Mikey Gonzalez
38
Sig strikes landed
34
77
Sig strikes attempted
67
56
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
Blue corner
Mikey Gonzalez
"Rolls"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35