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Prelims1 Featherweight

Jamall Emmers vs Vince Cachero

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jamall Emmers
Vince Cachero
81% 19%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
L1
Current streak
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Emmers: 103 sig / 5 TD · Cachero: 76 sig / 0 TD
Jamall Emmers
Vince Cachero
50
Sig strikes landed
39
115
Sig strikes attempted
91
76
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
167s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jamall Emmers

"Pretty Boy"
22-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Blue corner

Vince Cachero

"The Anomaly"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31