Back to UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Prelims1 Featherweight

Johnny Munoz vs Nate Maness

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Johnny Munoz
Nate Maness
47% 53%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
28
Age
Δ 2y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Munoz: 49 sig / 2 TD · Maness: 21 sig / 1 TD
Johnny Munoz
Nate Maness
36
Sig strikes landed
40
74
Sig strikes attempted
81
48
Total strikes landed
55
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
110s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Johnny Munoz

"Kid Kvenbo"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Nate Maness

"Mayhem"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29