Back to UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Chris Gutierrez vs Cody Durden

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chris Gutierrez
Cody Durden
72% 28%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
29
Age
29
W3
Current streak
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4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gutierrez: 66 sig / 1 TD · Durden: 36 sig / 2 TD
Chris Gutierrez
Cody Durden
49
Sig strikes landed
31
98
Sig strikes attempted
80
66
Total strikes landed
42
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
96s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Chris Gutierrez

"El Guapo"
23-7-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
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W UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
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Blue corner

Cody Durden

"Custom Made"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29