Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Lando Vannata
King Green
34%
66%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34
13-8-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
36-17-1
W1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vannata: 54 sig / 1 TD ·
Green: 115 sig / 3 TD
Lando Vannata
King Green
57
Sig strikes landed
63
126
Sig strikes attempted
132
60
Total strikes landed
83
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
72s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Lando Vannata
"Groovy"
13-8-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
9 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
D
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
Blue corner
W1
King Green
36-17-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
D
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—