Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Randy Brown
61%
39%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
25-12-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
21-8
W1
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Luque: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Brown: 61 sig / 1 TD
Vicente Luque
Randy Brown
57
Sig strikes landed
53
111
Sig strikes attempted
109
69
Total strikes landed
63
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
88s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
25-12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
14 fights · 11-3
Last 5
W
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
Blue corner
W2
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—