Prelims1
Lightweight
Davi Ramos vs Arman Tsarukyan
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Davi Ramos
Arman Tsarukyan
16%
84%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
34
Age
Δ 10y
24
10-5
Career record
Δ 22 pp
24-3
L1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ramos: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Tsarukyan: 91 sig / 1 TD
Davi Ramos
Arman Tsarukyan
28
Sig strikes landed
41
67
Sig strikes attempted
87
44
Total strikes landed
68
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
110s
Control time
232s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Davi Ramos
"Tasmanian Devil"
10-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
W1
Arman Tsarukyan
"Ahalkalakets"
24-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—