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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Malcolm Gordon vs Amir Albazi

UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 ·Flash Forum
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Malcolm Gordon
Amir Albazi
32% 68%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
30
Age
Δ 4y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Gordon: 3 sig / 0 TD · Albazi: 12 sig / 1 TD
Malcolm Gordon
Amir Albazi
35
Sig strikes landed
41
76
Sig strikes attempted
81
48
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
106s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Malcolm Gordon

"X"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
Blue corner

Amir Albazi

"The Prince"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27