Prelims1
Bantamweight
Brett Johns vs Montel Jackson
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Brett Johns
Montel Jackson
64%
36%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
18-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
16-4
W1
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johns: 11 sig / 8 TD ·
Jackson: 26 sig / 2 TD
Brett Johns
Montel Jackson
35
Sig strikes landed
41
77
Sig strikes attempted
86
60
Total strikes landed
65
3.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
8.1
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
246s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brett Johns
"The Pikey"
18-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
Blue corner
W3
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
16-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—