Prelims1
Catch Weight
Grant Dawson vs Nad Narimani
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Grant Dawson
Nad Narimani
89%
11%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
25-3-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
12-5
W3
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dawson: 53 sig / 2 TD ·
Narimani: 31 sig / 0 TD
Grant Dawson
Nad Narimani
42
Sig strikes landed
29
94
Sig strikes attempted
73
75
Total strikes landed
50
3.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
6.9
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
345s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Grant Dawson
"KGD"
25-3-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
Blue corner
L1
Nad Narimani
"Smiler"
12-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—