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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Roman Dolidze vs Khadis Ibragimov

UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 ·Flash Forum
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Roman Dolidze
Khadis Ibragimov
59% 41%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dolidze: 19 sig / 0 TD · Ibragimov: 4 sig / 0 TD
Roman Dolidze
Khadis Ibragimov
47
Sig strikes landed
43
93
Sig strikes attempted
84
66
Total strikes landed
61
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.0
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
123s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Roman Dolidze

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
L2

Khadis Ibragimov

8-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
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