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Women's Flyweight
Ariane da Silva vs Luana Carolina
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Ariane da Silva
Luana Carolina
50%
50%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
18-11
Career record
Δ 9 pp
12-5
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
da Silva: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Carolina: 2 sig / 0 TD
Ariane da Silva
Luana Carolina
60
Sig strikes landed
97
152
Sig strikes attempted
218
91
Total strikes landed
114
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.5
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
198s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ariane da Silva
"Queen of Violence"
18-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
Blue corner
W1
Luana Carolina
"Dread"
12-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—