Main
Lightweight
Marc Diakiese vs Rafael Fiziev
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Marc Diakiese
Rafael Fiziev
65%
35%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
18-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-5
W2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Diakiese: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
Fiziev: 78 sig / 1 TD
Marc Diakiese
Rafael Fiziev
39
Sig strikes landed
38
97
Sig strikes attempted
75
57
Total strikes landed
49
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
192s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Marc Diakiese
"Bonecrusher"
18-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
L
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
Blue corner
W1
Rafael Fiziev
"Ataman"
14-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—