Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jimmie Rivera
Cody Stamann
69%
31%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
23-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
22-8-1
L2
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rivera: 48 sig / 2 TD ·
Stamann: 26 sig / 1 TD
Jimmie Rivera
Cody Stamann
59
Sig strikes landed
55
142
Sig strikes attempted
138
79
Total strikes landed
79
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
23-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W1
Cody Stamann
"The Spartan"
22-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—