Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Molly McCann
Taila Santos
30%
70%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
15-8
Career record
Δ 17 pp
19-4
W3
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McCann: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Santos: 57 sig / 5 TD
Molly McCann
Taila Santos
43
Sig strikes landed
53
104
Sig strikes attempted
133
71
Total strikes landed
90
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
100s
Control time
203s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Molly McCann
"Meatball"
15-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
Blue corner
L1
Taila Santos
19-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—