Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ricardo Ramos
Lerone Murphy
45%
55%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
18-8
Career record
Δ 16 pp
17-1-2
W2
Current streak
D1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ramos: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Murphy: 22 sig / 1 TD
Ricardo Ramos
Lerone Murphy
40
Sig strikes landed
39
88
Sig strikes attempted
86
49
Total strikes landed
52
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
62s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ricardo Ramos
18-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
Blue corner
D1
Lerone Murphy
"The Miracle"
17-1-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-0
Last 1
D
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—