Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jared Gordon
Chris Fishgold
48%
52%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
21-10
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-5-1
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gordon: 44 sig / 3 TD ·
Fishgold: 20 sig / 0 TD
Jared Gordon
Chris Fishgold
40
Sig strikes landed
35
79
Sig strikes attempted
86
75
Total strikes landed
55
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.7
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
186s
Control time
176s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
21-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
Blue corner
L1
Chris Fishgold
18-5-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—