Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Diana Belbita vs Liana Jojua
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Diana Belbita
Liana Jojua
69%
31%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
62"
24
Age
Δ 1y
25
15-11
Career record
Δ 1 pp
8-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Belbita: 5 sig / 1 TD ·
Jojua: 2 sig / 0 TD
Diana Belbita
Liana Jojua
50
Sig strikes landed
51
118
Sig strikes attempted
130
79
Total strikes landed
72
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.2
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
148s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Diana Belbita
"The Warrior Princess"
15-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
Blue corner
L1
Liana Jojua
"She Wolf"
8-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—