Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Tecia Pennington vs Brianna Fortino
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tecia Pennington
Brianna Fortino
45%
55%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 2"
62"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
15-9
Career record
Δ 14 pp
10-3
L4
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pennington: 74 sig / 0 TD ·
Fortino: 34 sig / 2 TD
Tecia Pennington
Brianna Fortino
60
Sig strikes landed
66
133
Sig strikes attempted
141
80
Total strikes landed
92
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.5
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
152s
Control time
200s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Tecia Pennington
"Tiny Tornado"
15-9
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Brianna Fortino
"The Bull"
10-3
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
62"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—