Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Roosevelt Roberts
71%
29%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
37
Age
Δ 10y
26
39-20
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-6
L1
Current streak
W2
29
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Miller: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Roberts: 1 sig / 0 TD
Jim Miller
Roosevelt Roberts
25
Sig strikes landed
38
49
Sig strikes attempted
80
38
Total strikes landed
59
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
205s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
54%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
29 fights · 16-12
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
Blue corner
W2
Roosevelt Roberts
"The Predator"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—